Obama Victorious –
America Divided
The campaign went on
too long, the uncertainty helped no one and the costs are pretty
obscene, but today we wake up and all that's over. The Chinese
leadership are probably relieved, for the wrong reasons, although
personally I think Obama will not be a pushover. Mr Netanyahu in
Israel will be one of the disappointed, which is good news for peace
prospects in the Middle East I feel, although there is much to worry
about there.
British leader Cameron
is currently courting the Saudi royal family, seeking defence
contracts that will be good for British jobs – short term; lets
hope any weapons he sells will never be turned on us. Suddenly the
Saudi's are convinced Assad needs to go apparently, but generally the
Arab Spring must make them most uncomfortable and so both they and
Cameron are saying what is expedient in the short term, I doubt he's
brought up human rights, stoning women or cutting hands off. Let
alone democracy or equality. I'm hoping, for the sake of America and
the world that Obama is a different kind of politician – I believe
he is and I believe America made a wise decision.
Mitt Romney was
impressively gracious in defeat. In reality however he's a man who
compromised his own beliefs to win the nomination then tried to move
back, it's the age old problem of people who will do whatever it
takes to gain power, what else will they do? Mitt Romney is a
successful businessman and I've praised Robert Key in New Zealand on
that basis, but Romney has also contributed less to America in taxes
than he might have and that hasn't helped him. Like Cameron here in
the UK he seems to be a product of his class, primarily interested in
his class and out of touch with many common people. Thousands of
Hispanic people turn eighteen and become voters every month, 50,000 a
month was quoted I believe last night by a pundit on British
television. That's a sizeable vote the republicans are missing and
the young, that's the future to you and me, turned out in droves for
Obama.
So, all's well that
ends well then? Well not entirely. Nursing a cold I must admit I fell
asleep before the very last results were in; Florida, Virginia and
Ohio were still counting, despite two of those having effectively
declared for Obama it seemed. I heard Romney's dignified concession
speech and missed Obama's victory speech. I believe Obama is creating
jobs and the Americans who think he's turning them into Russia on
account of healthcare reform have no idea what they're saying – I
heard a member of the Republican voting public bring that up again. I
wonder if she's ever been out of the country, she has nothing to fear
except a kinder, more considerate, broader based administration. One
that is creating jobs too, one that bailed out the auto industry,
that's American manufacturing and that base is so very important. I
could wish the UK had done more to protect manufacturing.
Mitt Romney may feel a
little aggrieved with one or two Republican Governors who admitted in
effect Obama has got some things right, when he needed more doom and
gloom. Doom and gloom is a way to talk ourselves back into recession,
even depression but at least in his goodbye speech Romney suggested
cash rich American firms should once again invest and that's good. It
interested me as an outsider to note that neither Romney nor running
mate Ryan won the state's they hail from, where presumably people
know them best!
Yet, America is still
deeply divided. The electoral college votes gave Obama quite a
healthy majority, more than I for one expected, but the percentages
were small, not enough to prompt a recount thankfully, but so many
states were oh so close. The Senate is just Democrat no super
majority there and Congress is still Republican. When every last vote
is counted I suspect Obama will have won the overall popular vote
too, not always the case for a presidential winner and not since FDR
has a sitting President been returned in such poor economic times. So
it is a stunning victory.
I understand that in
the senate certain republicans said some stupid things which snatched
defeat from the jaws of victory and that one lady senator of the
democratic persuasion contributed funds to the selection campaign of
a republican she knew she could beat and duly beat him. As an
outsider I find US politics fascinating and sometimes disturbing.
America advocates democracy to the world, but handles it somewhat
oddly at times.
At the end of the day
the right wing 'Tea Party' that Romney pandered too in order to be
selected did the Republicans more harm than good. Romney was pushed,
pulled and turned every which way by factions in his own movement and
businesses and donors, whilst Obama persuaded people and brought them
round to his way of thinking with far less old style ducking and
diving, that's leadership and for me that's the biggest single reason
why he won. With Obama you know what you're getting. There's much
more to do though to get America back to where it ought to be. The
republican party will earn itself some respect if it now does
business with the president. Forget blind obstruction and make the
government work. The people have spoken, Obama's policies need to be
given a chance.
Aside from the
democratic core supporters many educated young women voted for Obama,
possibly because the republican party's stand on abortion and women's
rights scares them. Many things influence a country, not least the
Supreme Court. With two elderly judges likely to retire in the next
four years those women would sooner see a man like Obama appoint
their unelected replacements than a man like Romney.
I understand Obama
himself plays down the split in America, and so he should if he's to
heal it, but looking in from the outside it's clear there is much to
do. It's been that way since the Bush versus Gore tussle at least.
Frankly, if America, the world's largest economy, stumbles, we all
fall down. I hope Republicans understand their responsibilities to
their own people and to the wider world and won't wallow in self pity
and bitterness. Cooperation, progress and hard work are what's
needed, not a political civil war, not extremism; obstruction isn't
working and neither are too many Americans. Obama is creating jobs –
help him. The republican movement is still a huge force, use it for
good and your own support will grow again as you help make America a
better place, don't pull apart, pull together.
No matter what you think about the way the US presidential election was conducted, the fact still remains that the largest economy on the planet (maybe not for long...) is a democratic nation: one person, one vote. Tell that to the 1.3bn people in China that are about to have the next set of leaders installed. I, for one, am happy that Obama was re-elected even though I am a British Conservative because it shows that an administration that has fought through the recessions created by the 2008 meltdown can get re-elected based on the campaign theme of "we've only just started, let us finish the job". I fully expect that to be the mantra Cameron adopts here in the UK in 2015.
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